Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.546234 12.148474 13.866319 15.839797 18.038805 20.408277 23.148854
2025-09-21 8.354289 10.509715 12.984816 16.016634 19.608370 23.705206 28.707742
2025-09-28 6.940277 9.348916 12.263899 16.009751 20.650141 26.162441 33.153513
2025-10-05 6.110277 8.717267 12.012768 16.415957 22.068948 29.001923 38.056934
2025-10-12 5.419055 8.144976 11.728403 16.684228 23.247684 31.521096 42.599723
2025-10-19 4.797962 7.575387 11.362650 16.769385 24.135293 33.651720 46.680440
2025-10-26 4.118491 6.835250 10.678429 16.340148 24.269372 34.760220 49.430859
2025-11-02 3.583690 6.238686 10.127669 16.027783 24.504405 35.966109 52.305406
2025-11-09 3.122330 5.697140 9.598984 15.688439 24.651982 37.022927 54.977802
2025-11-16 2.737765 5.230463 9.134281 15.393962 24.822124 38.086654 57.662647
2025-11-23 2.365058 4.738163 8.582014 14.916464 24.678856 38.677537 59.679143
2025-11-30 2.156384 4.501165 8.410363 15.003500 25.362138 40.452818 63.402018
2025-12-07 1.950845 4.249714 8.198131 15.016636 25.939869 42.107756 67.029997
2025-12-14 1.794590 4.070473 8.090098 15.185545 26.757851 44.136776 71.257022
2025-12-21 1.626794 3.848568 7.887534 15.178952 27.288887 45.742939 74.897640
2025-12-28 1.535717 3.766449 7.922323 15.567767 28.459632 48.344745 80.080943
2026-01-04 1.433975 3.650309 7.884411 15.824594 29.419717 50.645917 84.867553
2026-01-11 1.318654 3.491463 7.753222 15.906125 30.087318 52.506105 89.026266
2026-01-18 1.155818 3.208097 7.361403 15.495198 29.905714 53.018253 91.120162
2026-01-25 1.023666 2.974971 7.045046 15.196210 29.891132 53.781951 93.608691
2026-02-01 0.903334 2.751936 6.727861 14.871450 29.809513 54.424057 95.910395
2026-02-08 0.800115 2.554837 6.444919 14.589673 29.783169 55.144689 98.342407
2026-02-15 0.693267 2.331426 6.085117 14.132859 29.417896 55.285663 99.839110